The Trump tariffs – Scenarios, implications and possible strategies
Guest blog by Peter Padbury . Foresight and vision-building for transformative change - Foresight Lab for Public Policy We have entered a new era. Trump’s pla n could dramatically remake the US and the world order. If fully implemented the tariffs and the larger plan could be catastrophic for Canada. But they are not the only disruptions on our doorstep. We need to see the big picture. Much of the public dialogue is focused on surviving Trump’s tariffs. We need to broaden the dialogue and build on our own long-term vision and strategy for the next economy. This discussion paper explores: T rump’s vision and the logic for tariffs; outlines three tariff scenarios; suggests possible consequences; identifies several other disruptions that also require attention; and offers possible actions to consider when developing a robust strategy. Trump’s agenda Trump has stated several broad international objectives that could impact Canada: secure the northern and sou...